trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 25% | 25% | -41.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +11.5% | +0.9% | 80% | 60% | -17.2% |
| all | 21 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 81% | 43% | -17.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.3% | 43% | -17.1% |
| 10% | -15.3% | 24% | -25.1% |
| 15% | -23.5% | 14% | -32.3% |
| 20% | -31.0% | 14% | -38.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $72 | $71 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 09 | $101 | −$99 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 04 | $196 | −$193 | -98% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 27 | $156 | −$154 | -98% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 22 | $138 | +$237 | +172% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on March 14? | May 16 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 16 | $12 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 16 | $12 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 13? | May 16 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 16 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | May 16 | $18 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | May 16 | $27 | +$3 | +12% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | May 16 | $31 | +$31 | +101% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch | May 16 | $61 | +$21 | +34% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S | May 16 | $54 | +$45 | +83% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 16 | $82 | +$23 | +27% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 50% by March 31? | Mar 04 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? | Feb 03 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | Feb 03 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 24 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 9? | Jan 24 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? | Jan 08 | $13 | $0 | +0% |