Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:56:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0dc6…5448
other · 89 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses7 / 81
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)88 / 89
History coverage79d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 1 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? Jun 14 $17 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? Jun 14 $24 $0 +0%
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 May 27 $12 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 25 $15 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 22 $15 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 21 $13 $0 -0%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20? May 21 $5 +$8 +158%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $140 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 16 $65 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 14 $64 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 14 $61 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 05 $63 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 04 $61 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 03 $60 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 03 $127 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? May 02 $199 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 01 $62 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $198 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $61 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $122 $0 -0%
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $61 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 17 $137 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 16 $60 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $62 $0 -0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 16 $60 $0 -0%
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $60 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $132 $0 -0%
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 15 $65 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $65 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $65 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $126 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 13 $65 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $67 $0 -0%
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 13 $74 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 12 $66 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 12 $63 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 11 $68 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $68 $0 -0%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Apr 11 $66 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 10 $65 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 10 $67 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 10 $74 $0 -0%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 09 $62 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 09 $64 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 09 $61 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 09 $67 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 09 $138 $0 -0%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% −$8
politics 25% −$2
economics 6% $0
sports 5% −$18
world 2% $0
tech 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 1h
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 SELL No 100¢ $12 18d
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 BUY No 100¢ $12 18d
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $17 19d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $15 20d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 20d
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? BUY No 99¢ $24 22d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $15 22d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $15 23d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $13 24d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 24d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $10 25d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20? BUY No 38¢ $5 25d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $11 26d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $11 26d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $65 29d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $65 30d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $64 30d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $64 30d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on SELL No 100¢ $61 31d
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on BUY No 100¢ $61 31d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $63 40d
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $63 40d
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $61 41d
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $61 41d
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $60 42d
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 11 +14.3% +3.5% 27% 9% -7.4%
≤90d 88 -4.7% -13.8% 8% 5% -10.0%
all 88 -4.7% -13.8% 8% 5% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 5% -10.0%
10% -22.0% 5% -18.6%
15% -29.6% 5% -26.5%
20% -36.5% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.48 · official $13.48 (match) · 215 history records