Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:48:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
0D 0x0dd3…36c5 crypto 1548 markets active 0h ago coverage 16d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (123 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$385 (-1%) realized −$137 · open +$11
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate97%1503W / 43L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day122.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$49now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days−$180
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$56
other 7% −$69
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (123 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 252 +0.4% -9.1% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1546 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 3% -9.9%
≤90d 1546 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 3% -9.9%
all 1546 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 3% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover122.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 3% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 1% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$13 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$49
Realized−$137
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1503 / 43
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1546 / 1548
History coverage16d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day122.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 1546 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 78¢ 74¢ $38 $36 −$2 (-6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 0¢ 96¢ $0 $13 +$13 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 15 $381 −$1 -0%
Will Japan be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Sta Jun 15 $29 −$5 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 15 $166 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $42 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $32 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 3m
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu SELL Yes 75¢ $22 4m
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu SELL Yes 75¢ $4 6m
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu SELL Yes 75¢ $0 6m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 95¢ $380 8m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $191 10m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $191 10m
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu SELL Yes 75¢ $66 10m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 11m
Will Japan be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Sta SELL No 57¢ $19 12m
Will Japan be the highest-scoring team in Group F during the Group Sta SELL No 57¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 36m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $24 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $32 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 40m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.84 · official $42.82 · 3500 history records