trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 50% | 50% | +19.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +21.7% | +10.1% | 50% | 50% | +19.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 31% | 31% | -8.2% |
| all | 16 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 31% | 31% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.3% | 31% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -27.0% | 25% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -34.1% | 25% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -40.6% | 12% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarro | Marie Bouzkova | 77¢ | 76¢ | $69 | $68 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Under | 47¢ | 46¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30? | Yes | 68¢ | 63¢ | $22 | $21 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Belgium | 44¢ | 44¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 57¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-15%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $14 | $16 | +$1 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 21 | $50 | −$3 | -6% |
| T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia | Jun 21 | $107 | +$54 | +50% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 18 | $72 | +$30 | +42% |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | May 12 | $8 | −$2 | -30% |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians | May 10 | $129 | $0 | -0% |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants | May 10 | $99 | −$4 | -4% |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans | May 09 | $68 | −$50 | -73% |
| Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2 | May 08 | $10 | +$11 | +111% |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders | May 08 | $30 | +$19 | +64% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W | Apr 29 | $50 | −$4 | -7% |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings | Apr 23 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 23 | $5 | +$1 | +18% |
| ChatGPT Outage by May 1? | Apr 22 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals | Apr 22 | $32 | −$10 | -30% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals | Apr 21 | $56 | −$16 | -28% |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026 | Apr 20 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |