Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:41:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0ddd…d270
crypto · 75 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$173 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses31 / 43
Open positions1
Markets (closed)74 / 75
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day273.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$115
7 days−$115
14 days−$115
30 days−$115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 27¢ 32¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$99 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$19 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$17 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$22 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$14 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $57 +$67 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$11 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$37 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $11 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $37 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $25 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $19 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -14.3% -22.5% 42% 41% -17.0%
≤30d 74 -14.3% -22.5% 42% 41% -17.0%
≤90d 74 -14.3% -22.5% 42% 41% -17.0%
all 74 -14.3% -22.5% 42% 41% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover273.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 41% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 39% -24.9%
15% -36.7% 38% -32.2%
20% -42.9% 35% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.02 · official $4.91 · 308 history records