Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:53:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0ddd…4f1f
sports · 138 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$43 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses55 / 68
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions15
Markets (closed)123 / 138
History coverage124d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 15 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$43
14 days−$30
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Suzan Lamens 38¢ 70¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+86%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty New York Liberty 84¢ 90¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 74¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score No 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5 Under 52¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+35%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 49¢ 53¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 Under 37¢ 39¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 71¢ 48¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-32%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 52¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo Toronto Tempo 39¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-32%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 7¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-36%)
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Minnesota Twins 33¢ 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-65%)
Joventut vs. Valencia Joventut 42¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-80%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Under 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Under 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? Scotland 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa South Africa 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 14 $15 −$6 -44%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $3 −$1 -39%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $3 −$2 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $3 −$2 -86%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $3 $0 -18%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $7 −$2 -29%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan - Who wins the toss? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $3 +$1 +21%
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu Jun 14 $2 −$1 -94%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $1 +$3 +291%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $20 +$8 +39%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $8 +$2 +18%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands - Who wins the tos Jun 14 $3 +$2 +82%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 14 $2 −$1 -63%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand - Who wins the to Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 13 $10 +$28 +276%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa - Who wins the tos Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Who wins the t Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland - Who wins the toss? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka - Who wins the toss? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 10 $13 −$7 -56%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Lucija Bagaric Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Singapore Jun 09 $11 −$10 -94%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent - Who wins the toss? Jun 09 $3 +$2 +79%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Who wi Jun 09 $11 −$1 -6%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire - Who wins the toss? Jun 06 $7 +$6 +87%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire - Who wins the toss? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Somerset - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +79%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $3 +$2 +60%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +79%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$3 +101%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire - Who wins the toss? Jun 05 $3 +$3 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$31
other 2% −$14
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Lucia Bronzetti 55¢ $4 3m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 74¢ $6 6m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Katarzyna Kawa 29¢ $4 7m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 47¢ $2 19m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 37¢ $2 28m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo SELL Atlanta Dream 39¢ $2 30m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 7¢ $1 34m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Atlanta Dream 40¢ $2 34m
Joventut vs. Valencia BUY Joventut 42¢ $2 35m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 8¢ $0 37m
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 39¢ $3 40m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 SELL Over 30¢ $2 41m
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 93¢ $2 47m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY New York Liberty 84¢ $3 48m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $3 50m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 71¢ $3 53m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 28¢ $2 54m
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 33¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 31¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 70¢ $3 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 8¢ $0 1h
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 79¢ $3 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 15¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 BUY Under 79¢ $4 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 52¢ $3 1h
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Katarzyna Kawa 50¢ $2 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 47¢ $3 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 29¢ $2 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 72¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -34.2% -40.5% 29% 27% -28.9%
≤30d 105 -15.1% -23.2% 42% 39% -12.4%
≤90d 117 -9.1% -17.7% 44% 41% -7.2%
all 123 -7.8% -16.6% 45% 42% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.6% 42% -6.9%
10% -24.5% 40% -15.8%
15% -31.8% 34% -24.0%
20% -38.5% 31% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.50 · official $29.50 (match) · 347 history records