Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:45:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0df3…b2b0
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$88 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$83 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized+$83
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses61 / 53
Open positions2
Markets (closed)114 / 116
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day566.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$83
7 days+$83
14 days+$83
30 days+$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $4 $11 +$7 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 57¢ 94¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$18 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$17 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 +2.4% -7.4% 54% 38% -6.7%
≤30d 114 +2.4% -7.4% 54% 38% -6.7%
≤90d 114 +2.4% -7.4% 54% 38% -6.7%
all 114 +2.4% -7.4% 54% 38% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover566.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 38% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 23% -15.6%
15% -24.3% 18% -23.8%
20% -31.8% 14% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.64 · official $18.98 · 772 history records