Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0df7…1ec1
sports · 582 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$166 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$463 · open −$199
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$684
Realized+$463
Unrealized−$199
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses313 / 267
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$1,141
Open positions127
Markets (closed)580 / 582
History coverage15d
Avg bet$183
Trades / day156.1
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 127 History 580 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,268
7 days−$1,788
14 days+$77
30 days+$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 73¢ 78¢ $122 $130 +$9 (+7%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 77¢ 69¢ $117 $104 −$12 (-10%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 69¢ 48¢ $143 $101 −$42 (-29%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 36¢ 72¢ $33 $66 +$33 (+99%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 25¢ 30¢ $51 $61 +$10 (+20%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 32¢ 28¢ $62 $53 −$9 (-14%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 41¢ 40¢ $45 $44 −$1 (-1%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 42¢ 34¢ $39 $32 −$8 (-19%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 40¢ 16¢ $50 $19 −$31 (-61%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 72¢ 100¢ $13 $18 +$5 (+39%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ 60¢ $6 $9 +$2 (+35%)
Will Joe Kent be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 19¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+2281%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 17¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-66%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 16¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+1794%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 2¢ 16¢ $0 $2 +$1 (+892%)
Will Mike Pence be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 15¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1748%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 13¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1570%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 64¢ 0¢ $152 $1 −$151 (-99%)
Will Tucker Carlson be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 12¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1379%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 11¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1180%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1133%)
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1221%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 83¢ 85¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 1¢ 10¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1183%)
Foggia: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Carole Monnet 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+311%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Celtics vs. 76ers Jun 12 $1 −$15 -1993%
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsen Jun 12 $1 −$8 -1174%
Pistons vs. Magic Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2146%
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 12 $0 −$4 -4483%
La Bisbal: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Elena Pridankina Jun 12 $0 +$5 +10817%
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Mayar Sherif Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 12 $0 +$7 +7345%
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko Jun 12 $0 −$1 -997%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Jun 12 $0 −$7 -5343%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $279 −$177 -63%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $160 +$150 +94%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $618 −$244 -39%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $66 −$51 -77%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $308 +$37 +12%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $485 −$81 -17%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $764 −$172 -22%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $472 −$52 -11%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $298 −$245 -82%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $297 −$297 -100%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $445 +$24 +6%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $361 −$151 -42%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $226 −$23 -10%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $128 −$103 -80%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $77 −$57 -74%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,836 −$251 -14%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $70 +$22 +31%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Jun 12 $51 +$7 +14%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $36 +$4 +11%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $469 +$4 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $541 −$541 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $483 +$402 +83%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $717 +$45 +6%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $22 +$24 +108%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $108 −$91 -84%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $77 +$49 +65%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $58 +$40 +70%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $55 −$55 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $60 +$20 +34%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $1,396 +$651 +47%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $270 +$92 +34%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $227 −$227 -100%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $295 +$32 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$234
other 5% +$527
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 36¢ $35 0m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 32¢ $32 0m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 41¢ $45 1m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 42¢ $40 13m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 44¢ $49 27m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 64¢ $6 30m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 21¢ $22 44m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 80¢ $89 46m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 36¢ $34 47m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 60¢ $33 53m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 53¢ $59 54m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 37¢ $34 57m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 33¢ $35 58m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 82¢ $8 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 36¢ $34 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 28¢ $30 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 87¢ $10 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 21¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 20¢ $19 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 21¢ $22 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 8¢ $0 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 28¢ $28 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 74¢ $73 1h
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Elizabeth Mandlik 63¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 48¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 84¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 42¢ $11 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 67¢ $10 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 74¢ $8 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 40¢ $39 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 +12.5% +1.8% 53% 47% -12.5%
≤30d 580 +13.2% +2.4% 54% 46% -9.2%
≤90d 580 +13.2% +2.4% 54% 46% -9.2%
all 580 +13.2% +2.4% 54% 46% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.4% 46% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -7.4% 36% -17.9%
15% -16.4% 27% -25.8%
20% -24.6% 19% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $684.20 · official $677.83 (match) · 3500 history records