trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 38% | 0% | -15.2% |
| all | 22 | -9.2% | -17.9% | 41% | 0% | -15.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.9% | 0% | -15.1% |
| 10% | -25.7% | 0% | -23.2% |
| 15% | -32.9% | 0% | -30.6% |
| 20% | -39.5% | 0% | -37.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 85¢ | 88¢ | $33 | $34 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 24 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 23 | $43 | −$16 | -37% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Dec 14 | $1 | −$1 | -80% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the | May 22 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | May 15 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | May 12 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $250 in May? | May 11 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 11 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | May 08 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 07 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | May 06 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April? | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $87000 on Mar 21? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | +1% |