Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e0d…6e5b
crypto · 741 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,743 -72%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,700 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$5,700
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses357 / 693
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1050 / 741
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day1004.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 3 History 1050 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,902
7 days−$5,700
14 days−$5,700
30 days−$5,700
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 48¢ 94¢ $18 $35 +$17 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 45¢ 98¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 53¢ 6¢ $50 $5 −$45 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% +$328
other 8% +$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-36.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1050 -29.4% -36.1% 34% 31% -48.4%
≤30d 1050 -29.4% -36.1% 34% 31% -48.4%
≤90d 1050 -29.4% -36.1% 34% 31% -48.4%
all 1050 -29.4% -36.1% 34% 31% -48.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1004.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.1% 31% -48.4%
10% ← realistic here -42.2% 28% -53.4%
15% -47.8% 25% -57.9%
20% -52.9% 23% -62.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.91 · official $86.06 · 3500 history records