Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:59:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0e1b…ecaf sports 96 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1712 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$359,697 (+1194%) realized +$360,839 · open −$1,142
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate58%54W / 39L
Whale WR57%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$314per market
Trades / day1711.9pace
Fees−$477est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4,260now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$1,361
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1712 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +17.9% +6.6% 58% 52% -10.3%
≤30d 93 +17.9% +6.6% 58% 52% -10.3%
≤90d 93 +17.9% +6.6% 58% 52% -10.3%
all 93 +17.9% +6.6% 58% 52% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1711.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 52% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 39% -18.9%
15% -12.9% 30% -26.7%
20% -21.4% 16% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 57% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +61% → late -25% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
26.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$116 vs −$166 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$4,260
Realized+$360,839
Unrealized−$1,142
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses54 / 39
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$477
Open positions4
Markets (closed)93 / 96
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$314
Trades / day1711.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 93 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner SPARTA 52¢ 100¢ $1,397 $2,678 +$1,282 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs SPARTA 64¢ 38¢ $1,779 $1,042 −$737 (-41%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs INOX Division 51¢ 62¢ $220 $269 +$48 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner INOX Division 55¢ 100¢ $148 $268 +$120 (+81%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner SPARTA 36¢ 0¢ $1,129 $2 −$1,128 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner INOX Division 54¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner ALGO Esports 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 17 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Pl Jun 17 $1,378 +$61 +4%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl Jun 17 $658 −$4 -0%
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $806 +$259 +32%
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $183 +$42 +23%
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Reg Jun 17 $54 −$35 -65%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $242 −$59 -24%
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $208 +$6 +3%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 16 $2,697 −$1,916 -71%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $264 +$67 +25%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $570 +$239 +42%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group B Jun 16 $174 +$173 +99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 16 $520 −$520 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $134 −$121 -90%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 16 $2,597 −$995 -38%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $500 +$97 +19%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $756 −$756 -100%
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 16 $63 −$12 -20%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $630 +$262 +42%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $106 +$98 +93%
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Jun 16 $81 +$34 +42%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 16 $18 −$2 -10%
Nottingham Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 16 $138 +$26 +19%
Nottingham Open: Caty McNally vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 16 $4 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $265 −$38 -14%
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Jun 16 $145 +$18 +12%
Figueira Da Foz: Elena Micic vs Francisca Jorge Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro Leagu Jun 16 $406 +$218 +54%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Nottingham Open: McCartney Kessler vs Katie Volynets Jun 16 $24 −$2 -8%
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 16 $129 −$81 -63%
Figueira Da Foz: Matilde Jorge vs Jil Teichmann Jun 16 $20 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Pl Jun 16 $76 +$21 +28%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $163 −$47 -29%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $401 +$155 +39%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $6 −$3 -39%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $179 −$160 -90%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Chin Jun 16 $58 −$57 -98%
Figueira Da Foz: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 16 $28 −$28 -99%
Dota 2: Carstensz vs WinteR SquadronS - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $114 +$38 +34%
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 16 $22 +$2 +11%
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 16 $11 $0 -0%
Dublin: Alexis Galarneau vs Francesco Maestrelli Jun 16 $94 +$14 +15%
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 16 $55 −$8 -15%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 16 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $80 −$80 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 16 $90 −$90 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $1,043 −$999 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 53¢ $9 16m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 53¢ $10 17m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 46¢ $11 18m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 46¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 54¢ $10 18m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 53¢ $13 19m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 47¢ $8 19m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 47¢ $3 20m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 53¢ $13 20m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 47¢ $5 20m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 47¢ $3 20m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 60¢ $11 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner SELL SPARTA 40¢ $10 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 60¢ $50 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 61¢ $5 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 61¢ $5 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 62¢ $2 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 62¢ $3 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 64¢ $12 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 65¢ $12 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner SELL SPARTA 35¢ $9 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner SELL SPARTA 34¢ $5 23m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 39¢ $1 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 40¢ $6 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 60¢ $16 24m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner SELL SPARTA 31¢ $3 25m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY INOX Division 69¢ $13 25m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 44¢ $7 25m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY INOX Division 45¢ $8 25m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se SELL SPARTA 55¢ $14 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,260.25 · official $4,188.29 · 3500 history records