Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:52:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e2f…f38d
crypto · 395 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$1,522 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,519 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$126
Realized−$1,519
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses262 / 129
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)391 / 395
History coverage104d
Avg bet$146
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$489
7 days+$489
14 days+$489
30 days+$489
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $52 $51 −$1 (-2%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $51 $51 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-10%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $135 +$114 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$45 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $231 +$36 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $206 −$70 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$43 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$21 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$76 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $207 −$40 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$23 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $203 +$45 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $203 +$46 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$17 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$51 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$30 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$31 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$8 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $272 +$37 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$34 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$47 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$5 +3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $65 +$113 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$17 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $47 +$26 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 09 $61 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 09 $38 +$23 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 09 $77 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 18 $4 −$3 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Apr 18 $13 −$9 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Apr 18 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Apr 18 $5 +$6 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Apr 18 $19 −$14 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Apr 13 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Apr 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Apr 13 $53 −$26 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,643
other 0% +$109
politics 0% −$5
world 0% +$16
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $31 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $65 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $184 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $196 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $108 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $116 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $150 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $133 1h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $16 1h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $82 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $72 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $51 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +7.7% -2.6% 72% 62% +6.3%
≤30d 39 +7.7% -2.6% 72% 62% +6.3%
≤90d 227 +4.3% -5.6% 70% 56% -9.3%
all 391 +2.2% -7.5% 67% 54% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 54% -11.7%
10% -16.4% 41% -20.2%
15% -24.4% 27% -27.9%
20% -31.8% 17% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $125.67 · official $125.67 (match) · 1143 history records