trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | -19.8% | -27.5% | 33% | 30% | +10.0% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -19.8% | -27.5% | 33% | 30% | +10.0% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -19.8% | -27.5% | 33% | 30% | +10.0% |
| all | 27 | -19.8% | -27.5% | 33% | 30% | +10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.5% | 30% | +10.0% |
| 10% | -34.4% | 30% | -0.6% |
| 15% | -40.7% | 30% | -10.2% |
| 20% | -46.6% | 30% | -19.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | $34 | $34 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $38 | +$27 | +70% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $24 | +$17 | +70% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$9 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $7 | +$8 | +103% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $4 | +$5 | +116% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $1 | +$2 | +180% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -16% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $4 | $0 | -10% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -91% |
| France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -86% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $7 | −$6 | -89% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -94% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $9 | +$8 | +90% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$4 | -42% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $7 | +$8 | +112% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | -8% |