Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e39…c95b
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$21 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses7 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day181.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 51¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 55¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$21 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $119 +$18 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$79 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$30 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$24 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $136 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -13.8% -22.0% 64% 45% -5.9%
≤30d 11 -13.8% -22.0% 64% 45% -5.9%
≤90d 11 -13.8% -22.0% 64% 45% -5.9%
all 11 -13.8% -22.0% 64% 45% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover181.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 45% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 27% -14.9%
15% -36.3% 18% -23.2%
20% -42.5% 18% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 184 history records