Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e3c…6e60
crypto · 47 markets active 4h ago
2.0score
+$10,911 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,725 · open +$185
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,085
Realized+$10,725
Unrealized+$185
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses25 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)46 / 47
History coverage34d
Avg bet$1,782
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,807
7 days+$6,808
14 days+$9,164
30 days+$10,192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 69¢ 84¢ $900 $1,085 +$185 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $12,830 +$2,945 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 10 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 10 $937 −$321 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? Jun 10 $2,041 +$58 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? Jun 10 $1,067 −$1,067 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16? Jun 10 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? Jun 10 $401 −$401 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? Jun 10 $2,290 +$237 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15? Jun 10 $213 −$213 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? Jun 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $6,221 +$2,986 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1,644 +$882 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $7,716 +$1,200 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $6,344 +$488 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $4,520 +$430 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $4,936 +$93 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $5,945 +$2,047 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2? Jun 02 $2,417 +$61 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? Jun 01 $1,044 +$156 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? May 27 $4,251 +$696 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22? May 22 $3,573 +$140 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $5,644 +$383 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17? May 17 $3,939 −$191 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? May 11 $1,443 +$148 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? May 11 $920 +$404 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 10 $21 +$11 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 10 $21 +$12 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 10 $20 +$8 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 10 $601 +$8 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 10 $8 +$15 +191%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 10 $21 +$22 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 10 $101 −$101 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 10 $201 +$12 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 10 $1,001 +$15 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10,961
world 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 80¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 80¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 80¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 80¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 80¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 80¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 80¢ $115 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 35¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 35¢ $82 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? SELL Down 35¢ $70 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 66¢ $528 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 66¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 66¢ $66 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 66¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 20¢ $80 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 19¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 99¢ $15,473 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 84¢ $21 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 84¢ $34 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 84¢ $21 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $4,563 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $162 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $81 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $81 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $9 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $252 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 81¢ $40 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-32.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -60.1% -63.9% 31% 15% +3.7%
≤30d 34 -43.8% -49.1% 44% 21% +2.2%
≤90d 46 -25.6% -32.7% 54% 28% +2.2%
all 46 -25.6% -32.7% 54% 28% +2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.7% 28% +2.2%
10% ← realistic here -39.1% 22% -7.6%
15% -45.0% 17% -16.5%
20% -50.4% 11% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,085.18 · official $1,085.18 (match) · 358 history records