Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e45…9a13
sports · 97 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$707 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$708 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$708
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses43 / 52
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions2
Markets (closed)95 / 97
History coverage34d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day6.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 2 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$8
14 days−$14
30 days−$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 65¢ 80¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+22%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 73¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Yes 86¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Kaitlin Quevedo 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31? No 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by May 31? No 15¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Guara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage Guara Esports 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026? No 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31? No 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11? No 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Struff vs Bublik Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +29%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $1 $0 -20%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $2 −$1 -41%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 08 $6 +$3 +45%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -76%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $12 −$1 -8%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs VooDooSh Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$1 +51%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $10 +$1 +6%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 04 $6 −$6 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2 $0 +3%
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $2 $0 +1%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1 $0 +12%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1 $0 +6%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1 $0 +4%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1 $0 +7%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $10 −$10 -97%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $10 $0 +3%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $6 +$1 +24%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $6 +$3 +45%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $10 −$1 -11%
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $3 $0 +2%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $5 $0 +7%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $5 $0 +4%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $77 −$38 -49%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $37 +$7 +18%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $30 +$7 +23%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $24 +$7 +29%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $19 +$5 +24%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $24 −$2 -9%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $18 +$3 +17%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $15 +$3 +18%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $14 +$1 +8%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $13 +$1 +8%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner May 24 $30 +$4 +14%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 24 $1 +$1 +123%
Dota 2: Recrent Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle P May 23 $7 +$1 +17%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $22 +$1 +6%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul May 23 $19 +$4 +20%
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien May 23 $5 +$2 +38%
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis May 23 $13 +$4 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$556
other 19% −$241
crypto 5% −$12
tech 4% −$3
politics 2% −$27
world 2% +$134
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 6h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 15¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Donstu Esports 99¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Donstu Esports 80¢ $1 7h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 65¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 7h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Panna Udvardy 71¢ $1 41h
Set 1 Winner: Struff vs Bublik BUY Struff 1¢ $1 2d
Set 1 Winner: Struff vs Bublik BUY Struff 1¢ $1 2d
Set 1 Winner: Struff vs Bublik BUY Struff 1¢ $1 2d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 2d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 72¢ $1 2d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 2d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $1 2d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres SELL Cincinnati Reds 99¢ $2 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 80¢ $1 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 25¢ $1 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ $1 3d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo SELL Dragon Ranger Gaming 1¢ $1 3d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 1¢ $1 3d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 31¢ $9 4d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 20¢ $6 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner SELL Cloud9 1¢ $0 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 4¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $8 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FUT Esports 96¢ $8 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL FUT Esports 82¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY FUT Esports 79¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-34.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -41.0% -46.6% 31% 25% -23.8%
≤30d 80 -23.2% -30.5% 50% 31% -18.5%
≤90d 95 -27.3% -34.2% 45% 29% -43.5%
all 95 -27.3% -34.2% 45% 29% -43.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.2% 29% -43.5%
10% -40.5% 19% -48.9%
15% -46.3% 9% -53.8%
20% -51.5% 5% -58.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.80 · official $3.80 (match) · 229 history records