trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -19.8% | -27.4% | 38% | 38% | +5.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -19.8% | -27.4% | 38% | 38% | +5.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -19.8% | -27.4% | 38% | 38% | +5.1% |
| all | 17 | -31.5% | -38.0% | 35% | 35% | +3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.0% | 35% | +3.1% |
| 10% | -44.0% | 29% | -6.8% |
| 15% | -49.4% | 24% | -15.8% |
| 20% | -54.3% | 24% | -24.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| United States to win the second half? | Jun 19 | $912 | −$900 | -99% |
| United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $202 | +$105 | +52% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $363 | +$111 | +30% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $408 | −$400 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $664 | +$1,743 | +262% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $565 | −$550 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Austria 0 - 1 Jordan? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Argentina to win the second half? | Jun 17 | $669 | +$594 | +89% |
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 17 | $305 | +$333 | +109% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4PM ET | Nov 01 | $166 | −$102 | -61% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4PM ET | Nov 01 | $10 | +$2 | +21% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET | Nov 01 | $11 | −$9 | -79% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Nov 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |