Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:38:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e59…a02c
sports · 573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$593 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$956 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$299
Realized−$956
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses518 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$61
Open positions2
Markets (closed)583 / 573
History coverage11d
Avg bet$146
Trades / day299.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 2 History 583 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$960
7 days−$780
14 days−$956
30 days−$956
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Metizport 99¢ 100¢ $297 $298 +$2 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Metizport 99¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Sarpsborg 08 FF leading at halftime? No 99¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 97¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 Under 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? No 98¢ $287 $0 −$287 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner Bushido Wildcats 84¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner RUSTEC $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 59¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Over 97¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 91¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Atlanta Dream $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 98¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Sharks 91¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage HEROIC Academy 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner INOX Division 38¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31? No 98¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals 96¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Curaçao 92¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5) Cina 54¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Real Madrid 99¢ $433 $0 −$433 (-100%)
Spread: Connecticut Sun (-1.5) Connecticut Sun $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Sarpsborg 08 FF leading at halftime? Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 14 $11 −$123 -1124%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$11 -115%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31? Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 14 $433 −$440 -102%
Spread: Connecticut Sun (-1.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Jodar vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 14 $49 −$187 -377%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $353 +$3 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $29 +$1 +2%
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Jun 14 $78 +$1 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $676 +$11 +2%
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $87 −$66 -76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $194 +$4 +2%
Curaçao leading at halftime? Jun 14 $150 −$1 -0%
Germany to score first vs. Curaçao? Jun 14 $22 +$2 +7%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 14 $102 +$1 +1%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $203 $0 -0%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $33 $0 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) Jun 14 $80 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $220 +$2 +1%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $493 −$36 -7%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $43 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 14 $284 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 14 $178 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $178 +$1 +1%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $176 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $166 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $289 +$5 +2%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $197 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $277 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $257 +$2 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $313 +$4 +1%
Alexander Shevchenko vs. Taro Daniel: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $333 −$3 -1%
Anna Blinkova vs. Anna Bondar: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5) Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $29 +$1 +3%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef Jun 14 $336 +$3 +1%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $168 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$236
other 5% −$266
world 1% −$3
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 99¢ $198 17m
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 99¢ $99 17m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 100¢ $38 22m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 99¢ $75 23m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 99¢ $38 23m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 98¢ $50 23m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 99¢ $22 26m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 99¢ $67 26m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 98¢ $66 28m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 2nd Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $29 34m
Spread: Germany (-2.5) SELL Germany 100¢ $30 35m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 97¢ $24 36m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 98¢ $328 37m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $166 41m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $54 41m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $38 41m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 99¢ $42 42m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 99¢ $100 42m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) SELL Curaçao $0 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 96¢ $5 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 98¢ $10 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 98¢ $29 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 98¢ $85 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 98¢ $12 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $115 48m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 98¢ $49 49m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $102 49m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $55 50m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $85 50m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 100¢ $27 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 458 -2.3% -11.6% 89% 2% -10.1%
≤30d 583 -1.8% -11.2% 89% 2% -10.3%
≤90d 583 -1.8% -11.2% 89% 2% -10.3%
all 583 -1.8% -11.2% 89% 2% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover299.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 2% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 1% -18.8%
15% -27.4% 1% -26.7%
20% -34.6% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $298.52 · official $298.52 (match) · 3500 history records