Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:02:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0e6a…df70 crypto 395 markets active 5d ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate83%326W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day88.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$52
14 days−$191
30 days−$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -8.2% -16.9% 80% 33% -15.9%
≤30d 395 -2.0% -11.3% 83% 33% -12.2%
≤90d 395 -2.0% -11.3% 83% 33% -12.2%
all 395 -2.0% -11.3% 83% 33% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover88.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 33% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 6% -20.6%
15% -27.6% 2% -28.3%
20% -34.7% 1% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$10 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses326 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)395 / 395
History coverage9d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day88.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 395 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$8 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$8 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $18 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $17 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $17 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $23 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $28 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 826 history records