Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e77…86cf
sports · 178 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$18 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses97 / 79
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)176 / 178
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day24.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$20
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 54¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 84¢ 60¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 +$7 +73%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 +$10 +105%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +25%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +28%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $8 $0 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $8 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +22%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $10 $0 -4%
Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $8 −$5 -66%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $8 +$1 +18%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 10, 10AM ET? Jun 10 $8 +$2 +24%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +24%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $8 +$2 +22%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $5 −$1 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $8 $0 +0%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $8 $0 -2%
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 09 $8 −$7 -89%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? Jun 09 $7 −$3 -44%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 −$1 -30%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $8 −$2 -29%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 9, 11AM ET? Jun 09 $6 +$3 +52%
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$2 +23%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$1 +17%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$1 +18%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $8 +$2 +20%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 09 $8 +$1 +13%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $5 $0 -1%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $8 $0 +4%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $8 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$2 +25%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $8 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$2 +20%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 $0 -2%
Will Giovanni Legnini win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election? Jun 08 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% −$12
crypto 35% +$11
other 13% +$2
politics 3% −$4
finance 2% −$12
world 2% −$4
weather 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $16 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $20 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 57¢ $9 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $10 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $10 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 65¢ $4 19h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 65¢ $6 19h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 SELL Over 99¢ $10 29h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Over 80¢ $4 29h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Over 80¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 32h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 56¢ $5 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 50¢ $5 35h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 36h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 39h
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 BUY Over 83¢ $8 45h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 82¢ $8 47h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 SELL Over 79¢ $8 47h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 80¢ $8 47h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 80¢ $8 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 54¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $10 2d
Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 28¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -4.0% -13.2% 53% 46% -12.0%
≤30d 176 -1.5% -10.9% 55% 49% -11.2%
≤90d 176 -1.5% -10.9% 55% 49% -11.2%
all 176 -1.5% -10.9% 55% 49% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 49% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 28% -19.7%
15% -27.2% 11% -27.5%
20% -34.3% 7% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.44 · official $13.44 (match) · 374 history records