Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e92…d3d6
sports · 684 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$154 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$289 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$184
Realized−$289
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses405 / 266
Est. fees paid−$145
Open positions13
Markets (closed)671 / 684
History coverage69d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 13 History 671 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$82
7 days−$26
14 days−$116
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 55¢ 100¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+82%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 87¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 85¢ 84¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 83¢ 82¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 69¢ 68¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 70¢ 69¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Under 68¢ 68¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Germany leading at halftime? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals Yes 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 46¢ 42¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 +$3 +32%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 +$4 +42%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $15 +$1 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $35 −$3 -7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$4 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $10 +$6 +64%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 −$9 -58%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $41 −$28 -68%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$14 -67%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$10 +99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$2 -39%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 −$6 -38%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -28%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $40 +$20 +50%
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $29 +$6 +20%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$13 -62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $10 −$3 -27%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 −$5 -33%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -29%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $30 +$5 +15%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $29 +$10 +33%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Jun 13 $10 −$2 -18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $81 −$31 -39%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $10 −$2 -16%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$215
other 11% −$65
world 0% +$18
crypto 0% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 63¢ $5 0m
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 63¢ $5 0m
Germany leading at halftime? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 4m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 68¢ $5 6m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 7m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 7m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 8m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 9m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $24 10m
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 85¢ $10 15m
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 70¢ $10 15m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 83¢ $10 19m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 69¢ $10 20m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 68¢ $5 20m
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $10 57m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 55¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 87¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 75¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 93¢ $15 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5 BUY Over 89¢ $10 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 BUY Under 77¢ $5 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 6h
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 80¢ $5 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $5 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $5 6h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $5 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 BUY Under 67¢ $5 6h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 167 +0.4% -9.2% 59% 57% -10.4%
≤30d 452 +1.8% -7.9% 60% 57% -9.9%
≤90d 671 -0.3% -9.8% 60% 57% -11.7%
all 671 -0.3% -9.8% 60% 57% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 57% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 43% -20.1%
15% -26.3% 27% -27.8%
20% -33.5% 14% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $183.85 · official $183.96 (match) · 2178 history records