trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 20 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 28 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 28 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $91 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | May 16 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 13 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 05 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 17 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 13 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 11 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 06 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 01 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 17 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 14 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 08 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 06 | $92 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 03 | $92 | $0 | +0% |