trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +228.0% | +196.8% | 50% | 50% | +69.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +228.0% | +196.8% | 50% | 50% | +69.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +52.2% | +37.7% | 40% | 40% | -6.9% |
| all | 25 | +34.2% | +21.4% | 36% | 36% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.4% | 36% | -10.4% |
| 10% | +9.8% | 36% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -0.8% | 36% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -10.5% | 36% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $29 | $24 | −$5 (-18%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $9 | $8 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$15 | +480% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win o | Jun 15 | $2 | +$20 | +961% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$12 | +226% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | May 01 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Apr 30 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | Apr 30 | $3 | +$5 | +166% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Apr 30 | $3 | +$3 | +93% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3? | Apr 29 | $16 | −$15 | -94% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 29 | $4 | −$4 | -95% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01? | Apr 29 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Apr 28 | $5 | +$4 | +93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Apr 28 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | Apr 28 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Apr 28 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Apr 28 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Apr 28 | $5 | +$6 | +123% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 28 | $2 | −$2 | -87% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | Jan 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 12 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Ye | Jan 06 | $2 | $0 | -1% |