Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:14:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0e9e…bd89
crypto · 343 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$777 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$73 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$73
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses175 / 167
Open positions1
Markets (closed)342 / 343
History coverage4d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day869.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$73
14 days+$73
30 days+$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 69¢ 40¢ $31 $17 −$13 (-43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 50¢ 60¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$18 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$43 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$11 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$9 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$7 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $27 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$38 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$15 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $16 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $21 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 342 -3.5% -12.7% 51% 39% -8.6%
≤30d 342 -3.5% -12.7% 51% 39% -8.6%
≤90d 342 -3.5% -12.7% 51% 39% -8.6%
all 342 -3.5% -12.7% 51% 39% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover869.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 39% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 29% -17.4%
15% -28.7% 16% -25.4%
20% -35.6% 8% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.39 · official $24.72 (match) · 3500 history records