Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:27:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ea2…f25e
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$16 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage158d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$46
14 days+$46
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $41 +$44 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$21 +42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24? Jan 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Jan 23 $36 −$12 -33%
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11? Jan 08 $20 −$14 -68%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6? Jan 07 $20 +$20 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% +$46
crypto 25% −$18
world 14% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $85 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $41 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $20 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $41 15h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $72 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24? BUY Yes 8¢ $24 140d
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $24 140d
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $36 155d
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11? SELL Yes 7¢ $6 155d
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11? BUY Yes 22¢ $20 156d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6? BUY No 50¢ $20 158d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +17.1% +6.0% 67% 67% +27.6%
≤30d 3 +17.1% +6.0% 67% 67% +27.6%
≤90d 3 +17.1% +6.0% 67% 67% +27.6%
all 7 -7.2% -16.0% 43% 43% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.0% 43% -2.7%
10% -24.1% 43% -12.0%
15% -31.4% 43% -20.5%
20% -38.1% 29% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.34 · official $40.34 (match) · 13 history records