Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ea5…17e4
crypto · 66 markets active 80d ago
0.0score
+$3,574 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,574 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$3,574
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses42 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,394
Trades / day3427.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +356%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Mar 24 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Mar 24 $288 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Mar 24 $506 +$145 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Mar 24 $192 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Mar 24 $288 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Mar 24 $728 +$231 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 24 $981 −$981 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 24 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Mar 24 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Mar 24 $288 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Mar 24 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Mar 24 $241 +$60 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Mar 24 $228 −$228 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 24 $386 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Mar 24 $564 +$36 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Mar 24 $961 +$339 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Mar 24 $6,656 +$2,043 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Mar 24 $11,862 +$8,863 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Mar 24 $1,419 +$124 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Mar 24 $6,570 −$6,570 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Mar 24 $2,990 +$268 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Mar 24 $21,106 +$2,609 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Mar 24 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Mar 24 $1,263 +$1,030 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Mar 24 $771 −$600 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Mar 24 $5,860 −$5,860 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Mar 24 $7,320 +$5,414 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Mar 24 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Mar 24 $3,260 −$3,260 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 24 $1,172 +$606 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Mar 24 $15 +$25 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Mar 24 $2,903 −$2,903 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Mar 24 $65 −$54 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Mar 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Mar 23 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Mar 23 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Mar 23 $132 +$168 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Mar 23 $75 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Mar 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Mar 23 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Mar 23 $118 −$118 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,573
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $25 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $16 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $288 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $84 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $159 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $41 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $127 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $28 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $47 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $3 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $192 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $39 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $42 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $72 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $72 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $62 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $16 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $21 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $42 80d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $67 80d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +64.7% +49.0% 57% 57% +81.4%
≤30d 7 +64.7% +49.0% 57% 57% +81.4%
≤90d 73 -1.6% -11.0% 58% 45% -6.0%
all 73 -1.6% -11.0% 58% 45% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3427.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 45% -6.0%
10% -19.5% 34% -15.0%
15% ← realistic here -27.3% 27% -23.2%
20% -34.4% 22% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.19 · official $3.00 (match) · 3500 history records