Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ea6…a2ca
crypto · 1030 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,188 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,641 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$120
Realized−$2,641
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses582 / 448
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1030 / 1030
History coverage37d
Avg bet$96
Trades / day65.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1030 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$386
7 days+$246
14 days−$256
30 days−$3,286
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $67 $120 +$53 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $112 +$46 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $111 +$51 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $114 −$110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $112 +$48 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $102 −$98 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $112 −$109 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $114 +$118 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$56 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$59 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $113 −$109 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $113 +$94 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $112 −$109 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $84 +$42 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $112 −$109 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $113 −$109 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $111 −$109 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $113 +$77 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$70 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $113 +$64 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$109 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $111 −$109 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$69 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $112 −$109 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $113 +$96 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $111 +$47 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$84 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $112 +$56 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $114 −$110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $113 +$79 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,641
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $99 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $67 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $35 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $22 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $47 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $102 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 272 +1.7% -8.0% 59% 59% -8.6%
≤30d 999 -4.0% -13.2% 56% 56% -12.7%
≤90d 1030 -3.2% -12.4% 57% 57% -12.0%
all 1030 -3.2% -12.4% 57% 57% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 57% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 57% -20.4%
15% -28.4% 57% -28.1%
20% -35.5% 45% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $120.12 · official $120.12 (match) · 3004 history records