trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -23.6% | -30.9% | 50% | 38% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 60% | 50% | -1.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 60% | 50% | -1.3% |
| all | 10 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 60% | 50% | -1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.4% | 50% | -1.3% |
| 10% | -16.3% | 40% | -10.7% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 30% | -19.3% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 30% | -27.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $162 | $161 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+67%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $32 | +$3 | +9% |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $34 | +$7 | +19% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $31 | +$11 | +35% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $8 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $52 | +$28 | +54% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$5 | +104% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $8 | +$8 | +108% |