trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 20% | 20% | -28.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +21.1% | +9.6% | 28% | 28% | -18.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 27% | 27% | -18.6% |
| all | 26 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 27% | 27% | -18.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 27% | -18.6% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 27% | -26.4% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 27% | -33.5% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 27% | -40.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | No | 57¢ | 57¢ | $73 | $73 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $65 | $49 | −$16 (-25%) |
| Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $22 | $21 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $70 | +$238 | +339% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 22 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? | Jun 22 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $112 | −$64 | -57% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $197 | −$184 | -93% |
| Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 3 Tunisia? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $263 | −$263 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? | Jun 15 | $52 | +$56 | +106% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 15 | $41 | +$129 | +316% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $126 | −$126 | -100% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $94 | −$67 | -71% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $150 | −$4 | -3% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $313 | −$313 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $97 | +$396 | +408% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 12 | $269 | −$269 | -100% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $162 | +$398 | +246% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $182 | −$21 | -12% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 06 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April? | May 02 | $510 | −$510 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | May 02 | $204 | −$204 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 30 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 30 | $240 | −$240 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Apr 29 | $259 | −$18 | -7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Apr 28 | $383 | +$331 | +86% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Apr 27 | $617 | +$433 | +70% |