Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T07:52:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
0E 0x0eaf…1f76 crypto 1354 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (284 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! loses its big bets
Total PnL +$2,462 (+2%) realized +$2,467 · open −$5
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate58%845W / 603L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$82per market
Trades / day284.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,476
weather 0% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (284 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1124 -10.0% -18.6% 56% 50% -31.8%
≤30d 1448 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 52% -23.5%
≤90d 1448 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 52% -23.5%
all 1448 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 52% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover284.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.4% 52% -23.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.5% 42% -30.8%
15% -30.9% 28% -37.5%
20% -37.7% 18% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$72 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized+$2,467
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses845 / 603
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1448 / 1354
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$82
Trades / day284.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1448 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 70¢ 48¢ $15 $10 −$5 (-32%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 345 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 28 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 28 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 28 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 28 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 28 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 28 $500 −$689 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 28 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $251 −$295 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 28 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 28 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $13 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $11 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $16 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $14 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $17 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $15 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.18 · official $12.32 · 3500 history records