Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0eaf…5452
crypto · 434 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$412 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$270 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$270
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses226 / 205
Open positions3
Markets (closed)431 / 434
History coverage63d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$27
14 days−$28
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $50 $34 −$16 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 66¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$10 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$5 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$164
politics 18% −$144
other 2% +$20
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $12 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 -7.5% -16.3% 69% 41% -11.3%
≤30d 200 -8.4% -17.1% 66% 37% -11.3%
≤90d 431 -21.9% -29.3% 52% 31% -20.6%
all 431 -21.9% -29.3% 52% 31% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.3% 31% -20.6%
10% ← realistic here -36.1% 18% -28.2%
15% -42.3% 12% -35.1%
20% -47.9% 7% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.61 · official $36.32 · 1778 history records