Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T05:47:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0eb3…97cf sports 150 markets active 1h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (180 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$806 (+3%) realized +$806 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +60% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +23% what you keep after slip
Net edge+23%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate47%72W / 80L
Whale WR38%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$196per market
Trades / day179.8pace
Fees−$279est.
Kalshi-fit55%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$221
7 days−$734
14 days−$290
30 days+$212
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 58% −$144
sports 41% +$178
crypto 1% +$232
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (180 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)+44.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +7.8% -2.5% 47% 20% -12.7%
≤30d 152 +60.1% +44.9% 47% 22% -9.5%
≤90d 152 +60.1% +44.9% 47% 22% -9.5%
all 152 +60.1% +44.9% 47% 22% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover179.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +44.9% 22% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here +31.0% 15% -18.2%
15% +18.4% 12% -26.1%
20% +6.8% 10% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
54% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +60% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 38% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +111% → late +9% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
13.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$36 vs −$30 · ×1.21 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$806
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses72 / 80
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$279
Open positions0
Markets (closed)152 / 150
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$196
Trades / day179.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 152 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? Jun 20 $2 −$49 -2396%
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26? Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $90 $0 -0%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 20 $300 +$3 +1%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $18 $0 +2%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $643 +$8 +1%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 20 $50 −$38 -75%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $641 −$52 -8%
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 Jun 20 $232 −$9 -4%
Spread: Brazil (-4.5) Jun 20 $23 −$4 -16%
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $299 −$1 -0%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $300 +$14 +5%
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 20 $20 +$7 +33%
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $50 +$4 +8%
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $279 +$27 +10%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $124 −$3 -3%
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $36 −$5 -14%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 19 $589 +$2 +0%
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 19 $85 +$1 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $788 +$19 +2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $444 +$63 +14%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $40 −$28 -71%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 18 $142 +$212 +150%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 18 $358 +$8 +2%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $75 −$3 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $26 −$3 -13%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 18 $10 +$2 +22%
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $244 −$21 -8%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $196 +$2 +1%
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 18 $5 $0 -3%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $164 +$39 +24%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 18 $145 −$1 -0%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 18 $50 −$3 -6%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 18 $415 +$8 +2%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 18 $143 +$26 +18%
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Jun 18 $59 +$9 +15%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $38 −$1 -3%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $12 +$13 +109%
Spread: Ghana (-1.5) Jun 18 $72 −$15 -21%
Ghana leading at halftime? Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Panama leading at halftime? Jun 17 $26 −$1 -4%
England leading at halftime? Jun 17 $119 +$14 +12%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 17 $369 +$7 +2%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 17 $16 $0 -3%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $45 −$4 -8%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $757 −$11 -1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $10 +$2 +16%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 17 $131 −$19 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 98¢ $50 42m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 94¢ $10 42m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 93¢ $10 42m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 6¢ $2 42m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 4¢ $17 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 5¢ $2 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 5¢ $8 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 5¢ $0 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 4¢ $1 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 4¢ $0 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 4¢ $1 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 4¢ $9 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 4¢ $9 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 5¢ $10 43m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 5¢ $1 43m
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 87¢ $1 45m
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 87¢ $17 45m
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 86¢ $7 45m
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 85¢ $8 45m
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 86¢ $3 45m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 1¢ $55 48m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 1¢ $25 49m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 52m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 52m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 53m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 53m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 53m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 53m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 53m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.41 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records