trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 25% | 0% | -10.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -11.5% | -19.9% | 21% | 0% | -10.9% |
| all | 28 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 36% | 0% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 0% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 0% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $4 | $0 | -8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $72 | +$2 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 25 | $39 | −$1 | -4% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 25 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $40 | −$5 | -12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $4 | −$2 | -37% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 23 | $41 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 21 | $47 | −$2 | -4% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 21 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 11? | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 15 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 14 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 14 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Apr 13 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 12 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 10? | Apr 12 | $1 | −$1 | -49% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 09 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April? | Apr 05 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 31 | $11 | $0 | -0% |