Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ec7…fca8
crypto · 216 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$42 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses113 / 102
Open positions1
Markets (closed)215 / 216
History coverage36d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 59¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? May 26 $12 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 26 $14 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 26 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 26 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 16 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 16 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 16 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 16 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 16 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 16 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 16 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 16 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 16 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 16 $4 −$1 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$41
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +8.3% -2.0% 74% 48% -1.6%
≤30d 162 -4.6% -13.6% 59% 37% -10.5%
≤90d 215 -9.2% -17.9% 53% 33% -12.9%
all 215 -9.2% -17.9% 53% 33% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 33% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 20% -21.2%
15% -32.9% 13% -28.9%
20% -39.5% 9% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.05 · official $1.05 (match) · 1237 history records