Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T22:53:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0eca…3898 crypto 83 markets active 9h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (160 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$93 (-3%) realized −$93 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate71%59W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day160.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (160 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 +12.5% +1.7% 71% 30% -13.2%
≤30d 83 +12.5% +1.7% 71% 30% -13.2%
≤90d 83 +12.5% +1.7% 71% 30% -13.2%
all 83 +12.5% +1.7% 71% 30% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover160.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 30% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -8.0% 20% -21.5%
15% -16.9% 13% -29.1%
20% -25.0% 12% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +16% → late +9% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$12 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses59 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)83 / 83
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day160.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 83 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 24 $14 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $14 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 24 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 24 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $41 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $102 −$98 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $101 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 24 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $48 −$47 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $46 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 24 $47 +$11 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 24 $41 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 24 $41 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 23 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 23 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $42 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 23 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $41 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $122 −$77 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 23 $81 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 23 $78 +$33 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 23 $76 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $61 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $40 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $101 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 265 history records