Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ecf…20d7
crypto · 1022 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$256 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$256 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$256
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses647 / 375
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1022 / 1022
History coverage64d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 1022 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$50
14 days−$40
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June? Jun 13 $12 −$3 -28%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $15 $0 +2%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Sp Jun 11 $4 −$1 -34%
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 11 $79 −$15 -19%
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 11 $12 −$1 -4%
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 11 $14 $0 -3%
Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 06 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 06 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 06 $3 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$214
other 10% −$24
tech 3% −$17
politics 0% −$1
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? SELL Yes 18¢ $4 1h
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June? SELL No 57¢ $8 1h
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? SELL No 64¢ $9 1h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $13 1h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $5 1h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 1h
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? BUY No 67¢ $10 7h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 7h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 7h
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 7h
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 7h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 7h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 8h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 8h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 8h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 8h
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 10h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY No 77¢ $4 10h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -12.2% -20.5% 75% 18% -19.7%
≤30d 563 -6.0% -15.0% 69% 44% -14.8%
≤90d 1022 -7.8% -16.6% 63% 49% -16.4%
all 1022 -7.8% -16.6% 63% 49% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 49% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 40% -24.4%
15% -31.9% 33% -31.7%
20% -38.5% 27% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1995 history records