Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0E
0x0ed1…2dc1
weather · 322 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$53 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$53
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses104 / 204
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)308 / 322
History coverage56d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 14 History 308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$11
14 days−$12
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14? Yes 21¢ 31¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+45%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 14? Yes 38¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+163%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14? Yes 38¢ 49¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+29%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15? Yes 36¢ 30¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-18%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14? Yes 31¢ 53¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+71%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? Yes 36¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+15%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 15? Yes 35¢ 29¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 15? Yes 27¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? Yes 27¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? Yes 25¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-76%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -77%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 13 $4 +$12 +301%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$9 +237%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -80%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $2 +$7 +335%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $4 +$6 +155%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$6 +540%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on June 10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -89%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 9? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 9? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -87%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -67%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 09 $1 −$1 -72%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 8? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwid Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -87%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldw Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 7? Jun 08 $1 +$5 +421%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 7? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -60%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7? Jun 08 $2 +$15 +623%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -48%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1 +$7 +614%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 98% −$23
other 2% −$26
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16? SELL Yes 15¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? SELL Yes 25¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? SELL Yes 23¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? SELL Yes 18¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? SELL Yes 17¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? SELL Yes 14¢ $0 8h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 15? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $0 12h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $0 13h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $0 13h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $0 14h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $0 14h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $0 14h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $0 14h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 14h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? SELL Yes 32¢ $1 16h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 16h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 18h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 25¢ $0 21h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 25¢ $0 21h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? SELL Yes 8¢ $0 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -12.8% -21.1% 16% 16% -18.9%
≤30d 151 +0.0% -9.5% 36% 28% -9.5%
≤90d 308 -3.6% -12.8% 34% 25% -13.2%
all 308 -3.6% -12.8% 34% 25% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 25% -13.2%
10% -21.1% 23% -21.5%
15% -28.7% 21% -29.1%
20% -35.7% 20% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.91 · official $35.83 (match) · 828 history records