Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:49:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0ee4…6bbd crypto 1198 markets active 0h ago coverage 105d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 105d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,812 (-2%) realized −$1,812 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate52%623W / 575L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$66per market
Trades / day31.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$49
14 days−$622
30 days−$928
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,538
sports 0% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 -2.8% -12.1% 48% 48% -10.7%
≤30d 688 -5.0% -14.0% 48% 47% -18.2%
≤90d 1092 -5.3% -14.3% 50% 42% -14.6%
all 1198 -4.6% -13.6% 52% 40% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 40% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 35% -20.8%
15% -29.5% 32% -28.5%
20% -36.4% 30% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -5% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$20 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

105d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,812
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses623 / 575
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1198 / 1198
History coverage105d ⚠
Avg bet$66
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1198 Trades
no open positions (306 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $23 +$22 +95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $23 +$20 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$36 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$12 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$11 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$7 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +88%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $278 −$54 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$22 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$24 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$34 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $94 +$73 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$42 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$24 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$22 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$30 +71%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$31 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$19 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$31 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $93 +$71 +77%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$34 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$21 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $151 −$146 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $93 −$90 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$41 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$37 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$28 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $127 +$105 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$27 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$15 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$27 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $44 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $23 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $43 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $77 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $41 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $17 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $23 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records