Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T23:43:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0E 0x0ee7…6fa6 other 90 markets active 0h ago coverage 60d ⚠
BOTnot copyable Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 60d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,990 (+13%) realized +$2,990 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate48%43W / 47L
Whale WR33%big bets
Drawdown26%max
Avg bet$253per market
Trades / day57.2pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 60d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% +$671
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -8.4% -17.1% 0% 0% -14.7%
≤30d 35 +15.2% +4.2% 49% 31% -7.8%
≤90d 90 +5.2% -4.8% 48% 28% -6.6%
all 90 +5.2% -4.8% 48% 28% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 28% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 16% -15.5%
15% -22.2% 12% -23.7%
20% -29.8% 7% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 33% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -6% → late +16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
12.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$34 vs −$17 · ×2.0 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.83 per $1 lost it wins $1.83
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,990
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses43 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage60d ⚠
Avg bet$253
Trades / day57.2
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 90 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? Jun 26 $300 −$36 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 25 $367 −$17 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 25 $893 −$20 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 25 $93 −$20 -22%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? Jun 24 $253 −$3 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? Jun 23 $158 −$7 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? Jun 23 $183 −$21 -11%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? Jun 23 $137 −$13 -10%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 15 $731 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 15 $53 +$9 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $111 +$30 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +41%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? Jun 14 $13 +$7 +56%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $404 +$164 +41%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $614 +$41 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $22 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $375 +$27 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $331 +$35 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $430 +$24 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $1,331 −$109 -8%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $142 −$1 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $414 +$6 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $211 +$74 +35%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 04 $2 $0 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $100 +$3 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $391 +$21 +5%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $317 +$67 +21%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 01 $48 +$36 +75%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? May 30 $1 +$4 +300%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $118 −$12 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 29 $163 −$7 -4%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 29 $323 −$2 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $1,401 −$67 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $69 −$16 -24%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $11 −$2 -18%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $183 −$36 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $143 −$36 -25%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $450 +$18 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $257 +$14 +6%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 24 $87 −$17 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $388 −$47 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $42 −$3 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 21 $68 +$6 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 20 $273 +$23 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 20 $30 +$77 +256%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 20 $103 +$2 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 19 $32 +$13 +40%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $361 +$47 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 18 $431 +$58 +14%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 18 $87 −$4 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $7 6m
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 59m
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 9¢ $27 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $6 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $19 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $8 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $38 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $34 2h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $38 3h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 3h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $37 3h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $3 3h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 22¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $41 4h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $11 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records