Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T09:37:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
0E 0x0ee8…7dc4 crypto 408 markets active 2h ago coverage 73d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$35 (+0%) realized +$35 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%403W / 5L
Drawdown82%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day5.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$27
14 days−$9
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% +$7
finance 8% +$9
other 6% +$6
tech 1% +$3
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +0.0% -9.5% 98% 0% -11.8%
≤30d 228 +1.1% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.9%
≤90d 408 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -9.2%
all 408 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 0% -9.2%
10% -17.6% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.8%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$24 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.21 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

73d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses403 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)408 / 408
History coverage73d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 408 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 24 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $30 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $29 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 23 $16 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10PM ET Jun 23 $39 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $10 $0 +4%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 22? Jun 22 $49 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET Jun 22 $49 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET Jun 22 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 22 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $16 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 22 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET Jun 22 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 21? Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 21 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $16 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$3 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23? BUY Yes 94¢ $29 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 23? BUY Yes 95¢ $30 17h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 23? BUY No 96¢ $30 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 30h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 32h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 22? BUY Yes 96¢ $49 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 40h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $9 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $16 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $12 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.29 · official $0.00 · 1864 history records