trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +50.0% | +35.7% | 100% | 100% | +35.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +89.3% | +71.3% | 100% | 100% | +67.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +25.9% | +13.9% | 92% | 42% | +39.8% |
| all | 18 | +11.9% | +1.3% | 89% | 28% | +35.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.3% | 28% | +35.9% |
| 10% | -8.4% | 22% | +22.9% |
| 15% | -17.3% | 22% | +11.0% |
| 20% | -25.4% | 11% | +0.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $428 | $425 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $192 | +$96 | +50% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $153 | +$197 | +129% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $139 | +$61 | +44% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $79 | +$121 | +152% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 09 | $249 | +$51 | +21% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 09 | $28 | −$27 | -98% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 21 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition | Apr 21 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Apr 21 | $15 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | Mar 26 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? | Mar 26 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Mar 26 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 02 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Jimmy Lai released by January 31? | Feb 02 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $0.00 end of January? | Feb 02 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31? | Feb 02 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31? | Jan 31 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition | Jan 09 | $22 | $0 | +0% |