Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:12:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0F 0x0f0d…b27d crypto 1742 markets active 1h ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (118 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$461 (-5%) realized −$461 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate94%1673W / 105L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day118.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$183
7 days−$192
14 days−$202
30 days−$199
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (118 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 551 -7.1% -15.9% 87% 0% -15.8%
≤30d 1778 -2.0% -11.3% 94% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 1778 -2.0% -11.3% 94% 0% -11.5%
all 1778 -2.0% -11.3% 94% 0% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 0% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 0% -20.0%
15% -27.5% 0% -27.7%
20% -34.6% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.31 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$461
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1673 / 105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1778 / 1742
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day118.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1778 Trades
no open positions (49 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records