Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:41:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f11…ac56
other · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)8 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit45%
Chart Positions 3 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 -38%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$4 +419%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$2 +54%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% −$2
crypto 19% +$1
sports 14% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 13h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 13h
Spread: Australia (-2.5) SELL Australia 5¢ $1 13h
Spread: Australia (-2.5) BUY Australia 8¢ $1 13h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 96¢ $5 13h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 15h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $4 25h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 25h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +25.5% +13.5% 50% 50% -17.6%
≤30d 8 +25.5% +13.5% 50% 50% -17.6%
≤90d 8 +25.5% +13.5% 50% 50% -17.6%
all 8 +25.5% +13.5% 50% 50% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +13.5% 50% -17.6%
10% +2.7% 38% -25.5%
15% -7.3% 38% -32.7%
20% -16.4% 38% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.88 · official $2.88 (match) · 17 history records