Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:00:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f12…c916
sports · 214 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$606 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$735 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$735
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses111 / 103
Est. fees paid−$116
Open positions0
Markets (closed)214 / 214
History coverage46d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day22.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 214 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days−$187
14 days−$769
30 days−$1,367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $318 $0 -0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $135 +$51 +38%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $143 −$143 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $190 +$43 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $31 +$3 +10%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $3 +$1 +41%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $21 +$6 +28%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $24 +$2 +10%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-17.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-18.5) Jun 11 $2 +$2 +101%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $9 +$5 +56%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $70 −$70 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $7 +$13 +188%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $48 −$48 -100%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5) Jun 06 $3 +$2 +55%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $8 +$4 +52%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire: O/U 160.5 Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-0.5) Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 06 $4 +$3 +65%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 06 $2 +$1 +44%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Jun 06 $7 −$2 -33%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 06 $20 +$4 +21%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 06 $12 +$6 +48%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 06 $4 +$1 +23%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $131 −$126 -96%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 06 $168 −$165 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 06 $10 +$5 +57%
Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5) Jun 06 $10 $0 +4%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 162.5 Jun 06 $12 +$9 +73%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 06 $12 +$8 +65%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Jun 06 $5 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$837
other 12% +$102
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $17 48m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 48m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 49m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 49m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 49m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 50m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 50m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 50m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 50m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 50m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 50m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 50m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 51m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 52m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 52m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 52m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 52m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $1 52m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $3 53m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 54m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 54m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 54m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 54m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $0 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -24.2% -31.4% 48% 39% -25.3%
≤30d 134 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 44% -28.8%
≤90d 214 +2.7% -7.1% 52% 48% -16.8%
all 214 +2.7% -7.1% 52% 48% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 48% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 45% -24.7%
15% -24.1% 42% -32.0%
20% -31.5% 37% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1167 history records