Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f1a…4279
crypto · 120 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$6 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses81 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$3 +164%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$9 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$7 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +36%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $7 +$6 +82%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualif Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +48%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $2 +$1 +27%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $11 +$2 +16%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $4 +$4 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$16
sports 19% +$23
tech 1% $0
politics 2% $0
world 1% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 48¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 90¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 34¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 62¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 63¢ $15 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $2 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 10¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +0.9% -8.7% 61% 59% -4.1%
≤30d 120 +6.4% -3.7% 68% 60% -7.8%
≤90d 120 +6.4% -3.7% 68% 60% -7.8%
all 120 +6.4% -3.7% 68% 60% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.7% 60% -7.8%
10% -13.0% 48% -16.6%
15% -21.4% 32% -24.7%
20% -29.1% 19% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 305 history records