trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -37.7% | -43.7% | 30% | 20% | -31.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -48.1% | -53.1% | 25% | 17% | -42.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -48.1% | -53.1% | 25% | 17% | -42.6% |
| all | 22 | -40.2% | -45.9% | 32% | 23% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.9% | 23% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -51.0% | 23% | -27.7% |
| 15% | -55.8% | 18% | -34.7% |
| 20% | -60.1% | 14% | -41.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 24¢ | 26¢ | $265 | $293 | +$28 (+10%) |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $39 | $26 | −$13 (-33%) |
| Colombia to score first vs. Portugal? | Yes | 45¢ | 45¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $254 | +$18 | +7% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $51 | −$10 | -20% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $177 | −$172 | -97% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 27 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score | Jun 26 | $499 | +$350 | +70% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $497 | −$489 | -98% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score | Jun 25 | $525 | −$248 | -47% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 0 Mexico? | Jun 25 | $247 | +$278 | +113% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? | Jun 08 | $497 | −$497 | -100% |
| Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford | Sep 12 | $22,736 | −$1,108 | -5% |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday? | Aug 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on Au | Aug 08 | $847 | −$847 | -100% |
| League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1 | Aug 08 | $500 | +$347 | +70% |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5? | Aug 05 | $345 | −$345 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August? | Aug 05 | $236 | +$109 | +46% |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31? | Aug 01 | $464 | −$228 | -49% |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025? | Jul 27 | $200 | +$49 | +24% |
| Tea App removed from App Store by August 31? | Jul 27 | $199 | +$15 | +8% |
| Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31? | Jul 14 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |