Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:39:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f2f…d2fe
crypto · 1250 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$377 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$572 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$572
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses590 / 660
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1250 / 1250
History coverage50d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day52.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$468
14 days−$290
30 days−$466
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $90 +$108 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$54 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$57 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $69 −$67 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$10 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$58 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$35 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$34 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$30 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$26 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$31 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$59 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$61 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$572
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $199 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $18 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $21 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $27 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $8 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $49 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $27 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $52 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 -6.9% -15.8% 44% 43% -24.2%
≤30d 1027 -1.4% -10.8% 47% 46% -12.5%
≤90d 1250 -1.9% -11.3% 47% 47% -12.9%
all 1250 -1.9% -11.3% 47% 47% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 47% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 46% -21.3%
15% -27.5% 46% -28.9%
20% -34.6% 44% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records