Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:58:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f45…3078
crypto · 279 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$129 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses219 / 63
Open positions0
Markets (closed)282 / 279
History coverage94d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day34.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 282 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$44
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +443%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$4 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$4 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $28 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$130
other 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $99 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $99 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $99 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 +2.5% -7.3% 98% 1% -8.3%
≤30d 198 +2.5% -7.3% 98% 1% -8.3%
≤90d 198 +2.5% -7.3% 98% 1% -8.3%
all 282 +0.8% -8.8% 78% 1% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 1% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 1% -18.8%
15% -25.5% 1% -26.7%
20% -32.8% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records