Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f51…af3b
crypto · 1785 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$133 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$323 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$323
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses738 / 1011
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1749 / 1785
History coverage221d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1749 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$44
14 days−$30
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Mavericks Mavericks 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
76ers vs. Celtics Celtics 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
76ers vs. Celtics Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Nuggets vs. Thunder Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Warriors vs. Lakers Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Mavericks vs. Lakers Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Nets Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Mavericks vs. Rockets Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Suns vs. Jazz Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bucks vs. Raptors Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 03 $6 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 03 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 01 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 01 $9 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$274
sports 4% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $8 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -64.4% -67.8% 17% 10% -61.3%
≤30d 197 -3.5% -12.7% 47% 42% -2.4%
≤90d 1269 -11.5% -19.9% 43% 41% -17.2%
all 1749 -11.0% -19.5% 42% 40% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.5% 40% -17.1%
10% -27.2% 37% -25.0%
15% -34.2% 33% -32.3%
20% -40.7% 29% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records