Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:53:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0F
0x0f58…0ff0
other · 242 markets active 15h ago
5.0score
+$95,896 +68%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$95,817 · open −$154
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,549
Realized+$95,817
Unrealized−$154
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses138 / 94
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$839
Open positions12
Markets (closed)232 / 242
Avg bet$579
Trades / day23.2
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 12 History 232 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$141
7 days+$69,248
14 days+$69,084
30 days+$73,430
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No 72¢ 88¢ $659 $800 +$142 (+22%)
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 64¢ 66¢ $320 $330 +$10 (+3%)
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 74¢ 80¢ $167 $181 +$14 (+8%)
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes 4¢ 14¢ $33 $125 +$92 (+277%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 48¢ 6¢ $480 $65 −$415 (-86%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? No 35¢ 28¢ $31 $25 −$7 (-21%)
Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026? Yes 33¢ 55¢ $7 $12 +$5 (+67%)
Will Alex Pereira be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes 1¢ 24¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+2270%)
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes 24¢ 32¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+33%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 79¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 15¢ 28¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+83%)
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No 1¢ 57¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5644%)
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5) SC Freiburg 86¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Vitality 59¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? No 1¢ 0¢ $3,478 $0 −$3,478 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 53¢ 0¢ $419 $0 −$419 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Team Falcons 60¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No 22¢ 0¢ $1,520 $0 −$1,520 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Vitality 56¢ 0¢ $499 $0 −$499 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $637 −$204 -32%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $14 +$7 +51%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Jun 10 $137 +$57 +42%
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? Jun 10 $43 −$11 -25%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $1,696 +$60,012 +3538%
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote Jun 09 $49 +$31 +62%
Will Tim Cook say "M5" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th? Jun 09 $86 +$14 +17%
Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote? Jun 08 $49 +$11 +21%
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone during the WWDC 2026 keynote? Jun 08 $314 +$34 +11%
Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple W Jun 08 $651 +$66 +10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $696 −$104 -15%
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keyn Jun 08 $48 +$15 +31%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 07 $360 +$90 +25%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $201 −$14 -7%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $770 $0 +0%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,010 −$129 -13%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $1,194 −$95 -8%
Ethereum flipped in 2026? Jun 05 $645 +$9,457 +1466%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $39 +$11 +28%
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 05 $393 +$6 +2%
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 05 $122 +$9 +7%
Will Solana dip to $70 in June? Jun 02 $4 +$1 +14%
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 01 $9 $0 +4%
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $1 $0 -8%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) May 31 $790 −$130 -16%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 May 30 $347 −$23 -7%
NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada? May 30 $2 +$2 +150%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $222 −$40 -18%
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl May 30 $511 +$11 +2%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 29 $773 +$76 +10%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 29 $563 −$18 -3%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $494 −$37 -8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 26 $889 +$3,990 +449%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 24 $3,844 −$547 -14%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? May 23 $405 −$10 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 23 $37 +$37 +100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $696 +$304 +44%
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5) May 18 $43 −$43 -100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 16 $800 +$60 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 16 $504 −$499 -99%
Canada recession before 2027? May 15 $25 +$21 +84%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 14 $412 +$1,005 +244%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $25 +$7 +30%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? May 08 $1,520 −$1,520 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 06 $373 +$37 +10%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? May 04 $4 $0 +7%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 04 $0 $0 -100%
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026? May 03 $43 +$13 +30%
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in May? May 02 $25 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 37% +$14,951
other 19% +$74,129
world 15% −$10,476
finance 10% +$3,566
crypto 10% +$11,039
economics 7% +$806
tech 2% +$1,638
politics 1% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 44¢ $433 14h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 35¢ $32 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $637 26h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 40¢ $15 28h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 40¢ $6 28h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 26¢ $14 28h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $19 42h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 42h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $6 43h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $10 43h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $5 43h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $17 43h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $17 43h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $9 43h
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? SELL Yes 4¢ $4 2d
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 2d
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $314 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $4 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $46 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 8¢ $40 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 2d
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 64¢ $6 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $15 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 2d
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? BUY Yes 6¢ $136 2d
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 50¢ $10 2d
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 50¢ $1,333 2d
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 50¢ $18,115 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+53.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +178.2% +151.7% 60% 55% +442.5%
≤30d 44 +100.8% +81.6% 59% 43% +199.0%
≤90d 161 +45.5% +31.7% 57% 43% +35.3%
all 232 +69.8% +53.6% 59% 46% +36.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +53.6% 46% +36.7%
10% +38.9% 38% +23.6%
15% ← realistic here +25.5% 27% +11.7%
20% +13.2% 23% +0.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,548.52 · official $1,548.41 (match) · 3500 history records